Live prediction market odds for Karolina Muchova vs. Elina Svitolina. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-18
Karolina Muchova vs. Elina Svitolina — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-18. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Elina Svitolina leads the “Karolina Muchova vs. Elina Svitolina” event at 53.0% implied probability, followed by Karolina Muchova at 46.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Karolina Muchova vs. Elina Svitolina is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Elina Svitolina leads at 53% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Karolina Muchova at 47%.
Elina Svitolina currently leads at 53% implied probability. Behind Elina Svitolina, Karolina Muchova at 47% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Elina Svitolina: 53¢ on Kalshi, 53¢ on Polymarket. Karolina Muchova: 46¢ on Kalshi, 47¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 53¢ means the market estimates a 53% probability that Elina Svitolina will be the outcome. Buying one share at 53¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 89% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Karolina Muchova wins the Svitolina vs Muchova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Stuttgart Semifinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Svitolina vs Muchova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Stuttgart Semifinal after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Elina Svitolina and Karolina Muchova in the Porsche Tennis Grand Prix, originally scheduled for April 18, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elina Svitolina' if Elina Svitolina advances against Karolina Muchova. This market will resolve to 'Karolina Muchova' if Karolina Muchova advances against Elina Svitolina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Elina Svitolina
53.0% avg
