Live prediction market odds for Karolina Muchova vs. Madison Keys. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-18
Karolina Muchova vs. Madison Keys — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-18. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Karolina Muchova leads the “Karolina Muchova vs. Madison Keys” event at 52.0% implied probability, followed by Madison Keys at 48.0%. A 2.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Karolina Muchova vs. Madison Keys is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Karolina Muchova leads at 52% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Madison Keys at 48%.
Karolina Muchova currently leads at 52% implied probability. Behind Karolina Muchova, Madison Keys at 48% are the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Karolina Muchova: 53¢ on Kalshi, 51¢ on Polymarket. Madison Keys: 47¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket. The 2.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 52¢ means the market estimates a 52% probability that Karolina Muchova will be the outcome. Buying one share at 52¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 92% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Madison Keys wins the Keys vs Muchova professional tennis match in the 2026 Berlin Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Keys vs Muchova professional tennis match in the 2026 Berlin Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Madison Keys and Karolina Muchova in the Grass Court Championships, originally scheduled for June 17, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Madison Keys' if Madison Keys advances against Karolina Muchova. This market will resolve to 'Karolina Muchova' if Karolina Muchova advances against Madison Keys. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Karolina Muchova
52.0% avg
