Live prediction market odds for Katarzyna Kawa vs. Claire Liu. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-20
Katarzyna Kawa vs. Claire Liu — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-05-20. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Claire Liu leads the “Katarzyna Kawa vs. Claire Liu” event at 54.5% implied probability, followed by Katarzyna Kawa at 45.8%. A 1.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Katarzyna Kawa vs. Claire Liu is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Claire Liu leads at 55% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Katarzyna Kawa at 46%.
Claire Liu currently leads at 55% implied probability. Behind Claire Liu, Katarzyna Kawa at 46% are the next closest contenders. A 1.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Claire Liu: 54¢ on Kalshi, 55¢ on Polymarket. Katarzyna Kawa: 47¢ on Kalshi, 45¢ on Polymarket. The 1.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 55¢ means the market estimates a 55% probability that Claire Liu will be the outcome. Buying one share at 55¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 82% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Claire Liu wins the Liu vs Kawa professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Women Singles Qualification Round 2 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Liu vs Kawa professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Women Singles Qualification Round 2 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Claire Liu and Katarzyna Kawa in the Roland Garros, Qualification WTA, originally scheduled for May 20, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Claire Liu' if Claire Liu advances against Katarzyna Kawa. This market will resolve to 'Katarzyna Kawa' if Katarzyna Kawa advances against Claire Liu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Claire Liu
54.5% avg
