Live prediction market odds for Katerina Siniakova vs. Clara Tauson. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-24
Katerina Siniakova vs. Clara Tauson — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-24. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Katerina Siniakova leads the “Katerina Siniakova vs. Clara Tauson” event at 50.8% implied probability, followed by Clara Tauson at 49.3%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread.
Katerina Siniakova vs. Clara Tauson is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Katerina Siniakova leads at 51% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Clara Tauson at 49%.
Katerina Siniakova currently leads at 51% implied probability. Behind Katerina Siniakova, Clara Tauson at 49% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Katerina Siniakova: 51¢ on Kalshi, 51¢ on Polymarket. Clara Tauson: 49¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 51¢ means the market estimates a 51% probability that Katerina Siniakova will be the outcome. Buying one share at 51¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 96% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Katerina Siniakova wins the Tauson vs Siniakova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Tauson vs Siniakova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Round Of 64 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Clara Tauson and Katerina Siniakova in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Tauson” if Clara Tauson wins the first set. It will resolve to “Siniakova” if Katerina Siniakova wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA match statistics.
Katerina Siniakova
50.8% avg
