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Live prediction market odds for Katerina Siniakova vs. Jessica Pegula. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

Katerina Siniakova vs. Jessica Pegula

2026-06-17

About This Market

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Katerina Siniakova vs. Jessica Pegula — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-17. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Jessica Pegula leads the “Katerina Siniakova vs. Jessica Pegula” event at 65.5% implied probability, followed by Katerina Siniakova at 35.0%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Live Markets

2 platforms
JP
Jessica Pegula
65% Avg
Kalshi66¢
Polymarket65¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
65.0%64¢66¢34¢36¢
PolymarketPolymarket
64.5%64¢65¢35¢36¢
KS
Katerina Siniakova
35% Avg
Kalshi35¢
Polymarket36¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
34.5%34¢35¢65¢66¢
PolymarketPolymarket
35.5%35¢36¢64¢65¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "Katerina Siniakova vs. Jessica Pegula" and why does it matter?

Katerina Siniakova vs. Jessica Pegula is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Jessica Pegula leads at 66% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Katerina Siniakova at 35%.

What is moving the odds on "Katerina Siniakova vs. Jessica Pegula"?

Jessica Pegula currently leads at 66% implied probability. Behind Jessica Pegula, Katerina Siniakova at 35% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.

What are the current odds for "Katerina Siniakova vs. Jessica Pegula" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Jessica Pegula: 66¢ on Kalshi, 65¢ on Polymarket. Katerina Siniakova: 35¢ on Kalshi, 35¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.

What does it mean that Jessica Pegula is at 66%?

A price of 66¢ means the market estimates a 66% probability that Jessica Pegula will be the outcome. Buying one share at 66¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 52% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Stats

Market Rulebook: Katerina Siniakova vs. Jessica Pegula

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Jessica Pegula wins the Pegula vs Siniakova professional tennis match in the 2026 Berlin Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Pegula vs Siniakova professional tennis match in the 2026 Berlin Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Jessica Pegula and Katerina Siniakova in the Grass Court Championships, originally scheduled for June 17, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jessica Pegula' if Jessica Pegula advances against Katerina Siniakova. This market will resolve to 'Katerina Siniakova' if Katerina Siniakova advances against Jessica Pegula. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Spread1.0%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Jessica Pegula

65.5% avg