Live prediction market odds for Katerina Siniakova vs. Liudmila Samsonova. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-21
Katerina Siniakova vs. Liudmila Samsonova — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-21. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Katerina Siniakova leads the “Katerina Siniakova vs. Liudmila Samsonova” event at 57.8% implied probability, followed by Liudmila Samsonova at 42.5%. A 3.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Katerina Siniakova vs. Liudmila Samsonova is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Katerina Siniakova leads at 58% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Liudmila Samsonova at 43%.
Katerina Siniakova currently leads at 58% implied probability. Behind Katerina Siniakova, Liudmila Samsonova at 43% are the next closest contenders. The 3.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Katerina Siniakova: 60¢ on Kalshi, 56¢ on Polymarket. Liudmila Samsonova: 41¢ on Kalshi, 44¢ on Polymarket. The 3.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 58¢ means the market estimates a 58% probability that Katerina Siniakova will be the outcome. Buying one share at 58¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 72% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Katerina Siniakova wins the Samsonova vs Siniakova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Bad Homburg Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Samsonova vs Siniakova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Bad Homburg Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Liudmila Samsonova and Katerina Siniakova in the Bad Homburg Open, originally scheduled for June 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liudmila Samsonova' if Liudmila Samsonova advances against Katerina Siniakova. This market will resolve to 'Katerina Siniakova' if Katerina Siniakova advances against Liudmila Samsonova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Katerina Siniakova
57.8% avg
