Live prediction market odds for Katerina Siniakova vs. Magdalena Frech. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-22
Katerina Siniakova vs. Magdalena Frech — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-22. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Katerina Siniakova leads the “Katerina Siniakova vs. Magdalena Frech” event at 60.5% implied probability, followed by Magdalena Frech at 41.5%. A 7.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Katerina Siniakova vs. Magdalena Frech is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Katerina Siniakova leads at 61% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Magdalena Frech at 42%.
Katerina Siniakova currently leads at 61% implied probability. Behind Katerina Siniakova, Magdalena Frech at 42% are the next closest contenders. The 7.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Katerina Siniakova: 64¢ on Kalshi, 57¢ on Polymarket. Magdalena Frech: 40¢ on Kalshi, 43¢ on Polymarket. The 7.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 61¢ means the market estimates a 61% probability that Katerina Siniakova will be the outcome. Buying one share at 61¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 64% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Katerina Siniakova
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Magdalena Frech wins the Frech vs Siniakova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Frech vs Siniakova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Katerina Siniakova and Magdalena Frech in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Siniakova" if Katerina Siniakova wins by 2 or more sets than Magdalena Frech, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Frech." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.
60.5% avg
