Live prediction market odds for Ksenia Efremova vs. Alycia Parks. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-21
Ksenia Efremova vs. Alycia Parks — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-21. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Alycia Parks leads the “Ksenia Efremova vs. Alycia Parks” event at 59.8% implied probability, followed by Ksenia Efremova at 41.8%. A 40.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Ksenia Efremova vs. Alycia Parks is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Alycia Parks leads at 60% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Ksenia Efremova at 42%.
Alycia Parks currently leads at 60% implied probability. Behind Alycia Parks, Ksenia Efremova at 42% are the next closest contenders. The 40.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Alycia Parks: 80¢ on Kalshi, 40¢ on Polymarket. Ksenia Efremova: 23¢ on Kalshi, 61¢ on Polymarket. The 40.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 60¢ means the market estimates a 60% probability that Alycia Parks will be the outcome. Buying one share at 60¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 67% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Alycia Parks
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Ksenia Efremova wins the Parks vs Efremova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Qualification Round 2 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Parks vs Efremova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Qualification Round 2 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Alycia Parks and Ksenia Efremova in the Madrid Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for April 21, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to “Parks” if Alycia Parks wins the first set. It will resolve to “Efremova” if Ksenia Efremova wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA match statistics.
59.8% avg
