Live prediction market odds for Laura Samson vs. Tatjana Maria. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-21
Laura Samson vs. Tatjana Maria — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-21. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Tatjana Maria leads the “Laura Samson vs. Tatjana Maria” event at 52.5% implied probability, followed by Laura Samson at 46.5%. A 2.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Laura Samson vs. Tatjana Maria is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Tatjana Maria leads at 53% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Laura Samson at 47%.
Tatjana Maria currently leads at 53% implied probability. Behind Tatjana Maria, Laura Samson at 47% are the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Tatjana Maria: 53¢ on Kalshi, 53¢ on Polymarket. Laura Samson: 46¢ on Kalshi, 48¢ on Polymarket. The 2.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 53¢ means the market estimates a 53% probability that Tatjana Maria will be the outcome. Buying one share at 53¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 89% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Laura Samson wins the Maria vs Samson professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Maria vs Samson professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Tatjana Maria and Laura Samson in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tatjana Maria' if Tatjana Maria advances against Laura Samson. This market will resolve to 'Laura Samson' if Laura Samson advances against Tatjana Maria. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Tatjana Maria
52.5% avg
