Live prediction market odds for Laura Siegemund vs. Elise Mertens. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-30
Laura Siegemund vs. Elise Mertens — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-30. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Elise Mertens leads the “Laura Siegemund vs. Elise Mertens” event at 73.3% implied probability, followed by Laura Siegemund at 27.0%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread.
Laura Siegemund vs. Elise Mertens is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Elise Mertens leads at 73% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Laura Siegemund at 27%.
Elise Mertens currently leads at 73% implied probability. Behind Elise Mertens, Laura Siegemund at 27% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Elise Mertens: 74¢ on Kalshi, 73¢ on Polymarket. Laura Siegemund: 27¢ on Kalshi, 27¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 73¢ means the market estimates a 73% probability that Elise Mertens will be the outcome. Buying one share at 73¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 37% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Elise Mertens
73.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Laura Siegemund wins the Mertens vs Siegemund professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Women Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Mertens vs Siegemund professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Women Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Elise Mertens and Laura Siegemund in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elise Mertens' if Elise Mertens advances against Laura Siegemund. This market will resolve to 'Laura Siegemund' if Laura Siegemund advances against Elise Mertens. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
