Live prediction market odds for Leyre Romero Gormaz vs. Dalma Galfi. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-20
This market resolved on 2026-04-20. Dalma Galfi was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 89%.
Leyre Romero Gormaz vs. Dalma Galfi — WTA Tennis match held on 2026-04-20. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Dalma GalfiWINNER | 99% | 79% |
Leyre Romero Gormaz | 1% | 22% |
Leyre Romero Gormaz vs. Dalma Galfi was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Dalma Galfi led the market at 89% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Leyre Romero Gormaz at 11%.
Dalma Galfi held the lead at 89% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Dalma Galfi, Leyre Romero Gormaz at 11% were the next closest contenders. The 20.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Dalma Galfi: 99¢ on Kalshi, 79¢ on Polymarket. Leyre Romero Gormaz: 1¢ on Kalshi, 22¢ on Polymarket. The 20.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 89¢ meant the market estimated a 89% chance that Dalma Galfi would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 89¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 12% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Dalma Galfi wins the Galfi vs Romero Gormaz professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Galfi vs Romero Gormaz professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Dalma Galfi and Leyre Romero Gormaz in the Madrid Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for April 20, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dalma Galfi' if Dalma Galfi advances against Leyre Romero Gormaz. This market will resolve to 'Leyre Romero Gormaz' if Leyre Romero Gormaz advances against Dalma Galfi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Dalma Galfi
88.8% avg
