Live prediction market odds for Lia Karatancheva vs. Miriana Tona. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-29
Lia Karatancheva vs. Miriana Tona — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-03-29. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Miriana Tona leads the “Lia Karatancheva vs. Miriana Tona” event at 42.8% implied probability, followed by Lia Karatancheva at 57.8%. A 16.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Lia Karatancheva vs. Miriana Tona is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Miriana Tona leads at 43% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Lia Karatancheva at 58%.
Miriana Tona currently leads at 43% implied probability. Behind Miriana Tona, Lia Karatancheva at 58% are the next closest contenders. The 16.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Miriana Tona: 35¢ on Kalshi, 51¢ on Polymarket. Lia Karatancheva: 66¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 16.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 43¢ means the market estimates a 43% probability that Miriana Tona will be the outcome. Buying one share at 43¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 133% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Miriana Tona
42.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Miriana Tona wins the Tona vs Karatancheva professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Bogota Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Tona vs Karatancheva professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Bogota Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Miriana Tona and Lia Karatancheva in the Copa Colsanitas, Qualification, scheduled for March 29 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Miriana Tona' if Miriana Tona advances against Lia Karatancheva. This market will resolve to 'Lia Karatancheva' if Lia Karatancheva advances against Miriana Tona. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
