Live prediction market odds for Lisa Zaar vs. Carolina Alves. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-16
Lisa Zaar vs. Carolina Alves — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-05-16. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Lisa Zaar leads the “Lisa Zaar vs. Carolina Alves” event at 74.5% implied probability, followed by Carolina Alves at 26.5%. A 3.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Lisa Zaar vs. Carolina Alves is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Lisa Zaar leads at 75% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Carolina Alves at 27%.
Lisa Zaar currently leads at 75% implied probability. Behind Lisa Zaar, Carolina Alves at 27% are the next closest contenders. A 3.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Lisa Zaar: 76¢ on Kalshi, 73¢ on Polymarket. Carolina Alves: 26¢ on Kalshi, 27¢ on Polymarket. The 3.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 75¢ means the market estimates a 75% probability that Lisa Zaar will be the outcome. Buying one share at 75¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 33% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Lisa Zaar wins the Alves vs Zaar professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Rabat Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Alves vs Zaar professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Rabat Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Carolina M. Alves and Lisa Zaar in the GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem, Qualification, originally scheduled for May 16, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carolina M. Alves' if Carolina M. Alves advances against Lisa Zaar. This market will resolve to 'Lisa Zaar' if Lisa Zaar advances against Carolina M. Alves. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Lisa Zaar
74.5% avg
