Live prediction market odds for Liudmila Samsonova vs. Lilli Tagger. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-09
This market resolved on 2026-04-09. Lilli Tagger was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 75%.
Liudmila Samsonova vs. Lilli Tagger — WTA Tennis match held on 2026-04-09. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Lilli TaggerWINNER | 99% | 52% |
Liudmila Samsonova | 1% | 49% |
Liudmila Samsonova vs. Lilli Tagger was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Lilli Tagger led the market at 75% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Liudmila Samsonova at 25%.
Lilli Tagger held the lead at 75% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Lilli Tagger, Liudmila Samsonova at 25% were the next closest contenders. The 47.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Lilli Tagger: 99¢ on Kalshi, 52¢ on Polymarket. Liudmila Samsonova: 1¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket. The 47.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 75¢ meant the market estimated a 75% chance that Lilli Tagger would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 75¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 33% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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Lilli Tagger
75.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Liudmila Samsonova wins the Tagger vs Samsonova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Linz Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Tagger vs Samsonova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Linz Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Lilli Tagger and Liudmila Samsonova in the Upper Austria Ladies Linz, scheduled for April 9 2026. This market will resolve to “Tagger” if Lilli Tagger wins the first set. It will resolve to “Samsonova” if Liudmila Samsonova wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA match statistics.
