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Live prediction market odds for Liudmila Samsonova vs. Linda Noskova. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

Liudmila Samsonova vs. Linda Noskova

2026-04-26

About This Market

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Liudmila Samsonova vs. Linda Noskova — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-26. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Linda Noskova leads the “Liudmila Samsonova vs. Linda Noskova” event at 55.5% implied probability, followed by Liudmila Samsonova at 45.0%. A 9.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Live Markets

2 platforms
LN
Linda NoskovaARB
56% Avg
Kalshi69¢
Polymarket51¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
60.5%52¢69¢31¢48¢
PolymarketPolymarket
50.5%50¢51¢49¢50¢
LS
Liudmila Samsonova
47% Avg
Kalshi50¢
Polymarket50¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
45.0%40¢50¢50¢60¢
PolymarketPolymarket
49.5%49¢50¢50¢51¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "Liudmila Samsonova vs. Linda Noskova" and why does it matter?

Liudmila Samsonova vs. Linda Noskova is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Linda Noskova leads at 56% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Liudmila Samsonova at 45%.

What is moving the odds on "Liudmila Samsonova vs. Linda Noskova"?

Linda Noskova currently leads at 56% implied probability. Behind Linda Noskova, Liudmila Samsonova at 45% are the next closest contenders. The 9.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

What are the current odds for "Liudmila Samsonova vs. Linda Noskova" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Linda Noskova: 60¢ on Kalshi, 51¢ on Polymarket. Liudmila Samsonova: 41¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket. The 9.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

What does it mean that Linda Noskova is at 56%?

A price of 56¢ means the market estimates a 56% probability that Linda Noskova will be the outcome. Buying one share at 56¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 79% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread9.0%
Platforms2
Candidates2

Market Rulebook: Liudmila Samsonova vs. Linda Noskova

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Liudmila Samsonova wins the Noskova vs Samsonova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Noskova vs Samsonova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Linda Noskova and Liudmila Samsonova in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 26, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Linda Noskova' if Linda Noskova advances against Liudmila Samsonova. This market will resolve to 'Liudmila Samsonova' if Liudmila Samsonova advances against Linda Noskova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Leader

Linda Noskova

55.5% avg