Live prediction market odds for Lucrezia Stefanini vs. Katarzyna Kawa. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-24
Lucrezia Stefanini vs. Katarzyna Kawa — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-24. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Katarzyna Kawa leads the “Lucrezia Stefanini vs. Katarzyna Kawa” event at 62.3% implied probability, followed by Lucrezia Stefanini at 37.8%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread.
Lucrezia Stefanini vs. Katarzyna Kawa is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Katarzyna Kawa leads at 62% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Lucrezia Stefanini at 38%.
Katarzyna Kawa currently leads at 62% implied probability. Behind Katarzyna Kawa, Lucrezia Stefanini at 38% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Katarzyna Kawa: 62¢ on Kalshi, 63¢ on Polymarket. Lucrezia Stefanini: 38¢ on Kalshi, 38¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 62¢ means the market estimates a 62% probability that Katarzyna Kawa will be the outcome. Buying one share at 62¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 61% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Katarzyna Kawa wins the Kawa vs Stefanini professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Women Singles Qualification Round 2 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Kawa vs Stefanini professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Women Singles Qualification Round 2 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Katarzyna Kawa and Lucrezia Stefanini in the Wimbledon, Qualification WTA, originally scheduled for June 24, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Katarzyna Kawa' if Katarzyna Kawa advances against Lucrezia Stefanini. This market will resolve to 'Lucrezia Stefanini' if Lucrezia Stefanini advances against Katarzyna Kawa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Katarzyna Kawa
62.3% avg
