Live prediction market odds for Lucrezia Stefanini vs. Yuliia Starodubtseva. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-20
Lucrezia Stefanini vs. Yuliia Starodubtseva — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-20. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Yuliia Starodubtseva leads the “Lucrezia Stefanini vs. Yuliia Starodubtseva” event at 67.5% implied probability, followed by Lucrezia Stefanini at 32.5%. A 44.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Lucrezia Stefanini vs. Yuliia Starodubtseva is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Yuliia Starodubtseva leads at 68% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Lucrezia Stefanini at 33%.
Yuliia Starodubtseva currently leads at 68% implied probability. Behind Yuliia Starodubtseva, Lucrezia Stefanini at 33% are the next closest contenders. The 44.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Yuliia Starodubtseva: 90¢ on Kalshi, 46¢ on Polymarket. Lucrezia Stefanini: 11¢ on Kalshi, 55¢ on Polymarket. The 44.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 68¢ means the market estimates a 68% probability that Yuliia Starodubtseva will be the outcome. Buying one share at 68¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 47% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Yuliia Starodubtseva
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Lucrezia Stefanini wins the Starodubtseva vs Stefanini professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Starodubtseva vs Stefanini professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Yulia Starodubtseva and Lucrezia Stefanini in the Madrid Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for April 20, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to “Starodubtseva” if Yulia Starodubtseva wins the first set. It will resolve to “Stefanini” if Lucrezia Stefanini wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA match statistics.
67.5% avg
