Live prediction market odds for Madison Keys vs. Jessica Bouzas Maneiro. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-24
Madison Keys vs. Jessica Bouzas Maneiro — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-24. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Madison Keys leads the “Madison Keys vs. Jessica Bouzas Maneiro” event at 80.3% implied probability, followed by Jessica Bouzas Maneiro at 21.3%. A 3.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Madison Keys vs. Jessica Bouzas Maneiro is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Madison Keys leads at 80% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Jessica Bouzas Maneiro at 21%.
Madison Keys currently leads at 80% implied probability. Behind Madison Keys, Jessica Bouzas Maneiro at 21% are the next closest contenders. The 3.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Madison Keys: 82¢ on Kalshi, 79¢ on Polymarket. Jessica Bouzas Maneiro: 21¢ on Kalshi, 22¢ on Polymarket. The 3.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 80¢ means the market estimates a 80% probability that Madison Keys will be the outcome. Buying one share at 80¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 25% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Jessica Bouzas Maneiro wins the Bouzas Maneiro vs Keys professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Eastbourne Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Bouzas Maneiro vs Keys professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Eastbourne Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Jessica Bouzas Maneiro and Madison Keys in the Lexus Eastbourne Open, originally scheduled for June 24, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jessica Bouzas Maneiro' if Jessica Bouzas Maneiro advances against Madison Keys. This market will resolve to 'Madison Keys' if Madison Keys advances against Jessica Bouzas Maneiro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Madison Keys
80.3% avg
