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MarketsWhalesArbTrending

Live prediction market odds for Magdalena Frech vs. Anna Bondar. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Trade $20, get $20

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi. T&Cs apply.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Jun 17, 2026Last used 14 mins ago2 min avg claim

Kalshi / Polymarket

Magdalena Frech vs. Anna Bondar

2026-04-01

About This Market

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Magdalena Frech vs. Anna Bondar — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-01. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Magdalena Frech leads the “Magdalena Frech vs. Anna Bondar” event at 25.8% implied probability, followed by Anna Bondar at 74.3%. A 49.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Trade $20, get $20

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi. T&Cs apply.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Jun 17, 2026Last used 14 mins ago2 min avg claim

Live Markets

2 platforms
MF
Magdalena FrechARB
26% Avg
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket51¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
0.5%0¢1¢99¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
51.0%51¢51¢50¢50¢
AB
Anna BondarARB
75% Avg
Kalshi100¢
Polymarket50¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
99.5%99¢100¢0¢1¢
PolymarketPolymarket
50.0%50¢50¢51¢51¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "Magdalena Frech vs. Anna Bondar" and why does it matter?

Magdalena Frech vs. Anna Bondar is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Magdalena Frech leads at 26% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Anna Bondar at 74%.

What is moving the odds on "Magdalena Frech vs. Anna Bondar"?

Magdalena Frech currently leads at 26% implied probability. Behind Magdalena Frech, Anna Bondar at 74% are the next closest contenders. The 49.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

What are the current odds for "Magdalena Frech vs. Anna Bondar" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Magdalena Frech: 1¢ on Kalshi, 51¢ on Polymarket. Anna Bondar: 99¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

What does it mean that Magdalena Frech is at 26%?

A price of 26¢ means the market estimates a 26% probability that Magdalena Frech will be the outcome. Buying one share at 26¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 285% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread49.5%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Magdalena Frech

25.8% avg

Market Rulebook: Magdalena Frech vs. Anna Bondar

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Anna Bondar wins the Bondar vs Frech professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Charleston Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Bondar vs Frech professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Charleston Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers on the tennis match between Anna Bondar and Magdalena Frech in the Credit One Charleston Open, scheduled for April 1 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anna Bondar' if Anna Bondar advances against Magdalena Frech. This market will resolve to 'Magdalena Frech' if Magdalena Frech advances against Anna Bondar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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