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This information is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always verify resolution criteria and platform rules before trading.

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Live prediction market odds for Maria Lourdes Carle vs. Emiliana Arango. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Trade $20, get $20

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi. T&Cs apply.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Jun 17, 2026Last used 14 mins ago2 min avg claim

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket

Emiliana Arango Wins: Maria Lourdes Carle vs. Emiliana Arango

Resolved 2026-03-30

This market resolved on 2026-03-30. Emiliana Arango was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 82%.

About This Market

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Maria Lourdes Carle vs. Emiliana Arango — WTA Tennis match held on 2026-03-30. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Trade $20, get $20

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi. T&Cs apply.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Jun 17, 2026Last used 14 mins ago2 min avg claim

Final Closing Odds

2 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
Emiliana ArangoWINNER
99%65%

Frequently Asked Questions

What was "Maria Lourdes Carle vs. Emiliana Arango" and why did it matter?

Maria Lourdes Carle vs. Emiliana Arango was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Emiliana Arango led the market at 82% implied probability before resolution.

What moved the odds on "Maria Lourdes Carle vs. Emiliana Arango"?

Emiliana Arango held the lead at 82% implied probability heading into resolution. The 34.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

What were the final odds for "Maria Lourdes Carle vs. Emiliana Arango" across platforms?

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Emiliana Arango: 99¢ on Kalshi, 65¢ on Polymarket. The 34.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

What did 82% odds for Emiliana Arango mean?

A price of 82¢ meant the market estimated a 82% chance that Emiliana Arango would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 82¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 22% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread34.0%
Platforms2
Candidates1
Winner

Emiliana Arango

82.0% avg

Market Rulebook: Maria Lourdes Carle vs. Emiliana Arango

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Emiliana Arango wins the Arango vs Carle professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Bogota Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Arango vs Carle professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Bogota Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers on the tennis match between Emiliana Arango and Maria Lourdes Carle in the Copa Colsanitas, scheduled for March 30 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Emiliana Arango' if Emiliana Arango advances against Maria Lourdes Carle. This market will resolve to 'Maria Lourdes Carle' if Maria Lourdes Carle advances against Emiliana Arango. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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