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This information is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always verify resolution criteria and platform rules before trading.

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Live prediction market odds for Maria Lourdes Carle vs. Emiliana Arango. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Kalshi / Polymarket

Maria Lourdes Carle vs. Emiliana Arango

2026-03-30

About This Market

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Maria Lourdes Carle vs. Emiliana Arango — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-03-30. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Emiliana Arango is priced at 63.5% implied probability for the “Maria Lourdes Carle vs. Emiliana Arango” event. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
No price history available

Live Markets

2 platforms
EA
Emiliana Arango
64% Avg
Kalshi64¢
Polymarket64¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
63.0%62¢64¢36¢38¢
PolymarketPolymarket
64.0%64¢64¢36¢36¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "Maria Lourdes Carle vs. Emiliana Arango" and why does it matter?

Maria Lourdes Carle vs. Emiliana Arango is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Emiliana Arango leads at 64% implied probability, making it the market favorite.

What is moving the odds on "Maria Lourdes Carle vs. Emiliana Arango"?

Emiliana Arango currently leads at 64% implied probability. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.

What are the current odds for "Maria Lourdes Carle vs. Emiliana Arango" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Emiliana Arango: 63¢ on Kalshi, 64¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.

What does it mean that Emiliana Arango is at 64%?

A price of 64¢ means the market estimates a 64% probability that Emiliana Arango will be the outcome. Buying one share at 64¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 56% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.0%
Platforms2
Candidates1
Leader

Emiliana Arango

63.5% avg

Market Rulebook: Maria Lourdes Carle vs. Emiliana Arango

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Emiliana Arango wins the Arango vs Carle professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Bogota Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Arango vs Carle professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Bogota Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers on the tennis match between Emiliana Arango and Maria Lourdes Carle in the Copa Colsanitas, scheduled for March 30 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Emiliana Arango' if Emiliana Arango advances against Maria Lourdes Carle. This market will resolve to 'Maria Lourdes Carle' if Maria Lourdes Carle advances against Emiliana Arango. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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