Live prediction market odds for Maria Sakkari vs. Janice Tjen. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-22
Maria Sakkari vs. Janice Tjen — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-22. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Janice Tjen leads the “Maria Sakkari vs. Janice Tjen” event at 45.3% implied probability, followed by Maria Sakkari at 44.8%. A 10.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Maria Sakkari vs. Janice Tjen is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Janice Tjen leads at 45% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Maria Sakkari at 45%.
Janice Tjen currently leads at 45% implied probability. Behind Janice Tjen, Maria Sakkari at 45% are the next closest contenders. The 10.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Janice Tjen: 40¢ on Kalshi, 51¢ on Polymarket. Maria Sakkari: 40¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 10.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 45¢ means the market estimates a 45% probability that Janice Tjen will be the outcome. Buying one share at 45¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 122% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Janice Tjen wins the Tjen vs Sakkari professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Tjen vs Sakkari professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Maria Sakkari and Janice Tjen in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Sakkari" if Maria Sakkari wins by 2 or more sets than Janice Tjen, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Tjen." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.
Janice Tjen
45.3% avg
