Live prediction market odds for Maria Timofeeva vs. Beatriz Haddad Maia. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-30
Maria Timofeeva vs. Beatriz Haddad Maia — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-30. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Maria Timofeeva leads the “Maria Timofeeva vs. Beatriz Haddad Maia” event at 69.5% implied probability, followed by Beatriz Haddad Maia at 31.0%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Maria Timofeeva vs. Beatriz Haddad Maia is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Maria Timofeeva leads at 70% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Beatriz Haddad Maia at 31%.
Maria Timofeeva currently leads at 70% implied probability. Behind Maria Timofeeva, Beatriz Haddad Maia at 31% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Maria Timofeeva: 70¢ on Kalshi, 69¢ on Polymarket. Beatriz Haddad Maia: 31¢ on Kalshi, 31¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 70¢ means the market estimates a 70% probability that Maria Timofeeva will be the outcome. Buying one share at 70¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 43% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Maria Timofeeva
69.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Maria Timofeeva wins the Haddad Maia vs Timofeeva professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Women Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Haddad Maia vs Timofeeva professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Women Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Beatriz Haddad Maia and Maria Timofeeva in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Beatriz Haddad Maia' if Beatriz Haddad Maia advances against Maria Timofeeva. This market will resolve to 'Maria Timofeeva' if Maria Timofeeva advances against Beatriz Haddad Maia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
