Live prediction market odds for Maria Timofeeva vs. Elise Mertens. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-07-02
Maria Timofeeva vs. Elise Mertens — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-07-02. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Elise Mertens leads the “Maria Timofeeva vs. Elise Mertens” event at 81.3% implied probability, followed by Maria Timofeeva at 18.8%. A 1.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Maria Timofeeva vs. Elise Mertens is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Elise Mertens leads at 81% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Maria Timofeeva at 19%.
Elise Mertens currently leads at 81% implied probability. Behind Elise Mertens, Maria Timofeeva at 19% are the next closest contenders. A 1.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Elise Mertens: 82¢ on Kalshi, 81¢ on Polymarket. Maria Timofeeva: 18¢ on Kalshi, 20¢ on Polymarket. The 1.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 81¢ means the market estimates a 81% probability that Elise Mertens will be the outcome. Buying one share at 81¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 23% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Elise Mertens
81.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Maria Timofeeva wins the Mertens vs Timofeeva professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Women Singles Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Mertens vs Timofeeva professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Women Singles Round Of 64 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Elise Mertens and Maria Timofeeva in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elise Mertens' if Elise Mertens advances against Maria Timofeeva. This market will resolve to 'Maria Timofeeva' if Maria Timofeeva advances against Elise Mertens. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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