Live prediction market odds for Mariella Thamm vs. Renata Zarazua. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-20
Mariella Thamm vs. Renata Zarazua — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-20. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Renata Zarazua leads the “Mariella Thamm vs. Renata Zarazua” event at 80.0% implied probability, followed by Mariella Thamm at 20.0%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread.
Mariella Thamm vs. Renata Zarazua is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Renata Zarazua leads at 80% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Mariella Thamm at 20%.
Renata Zarazua currently leads at 80% implied probability. Behind Renata Zarazua, Mariella Thamm at 20% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Renata Zarazua: 80¢ on Kalshi, 80¢ on Polymarket. Mariella Thamm: 20¢ on Kalshi, 20¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 80¢ means the market estimates a 80% probability that Renata Zarazua will be the outcome. Buying one share at 80¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 25% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Mariella Thamm wins the Zarazua vs Thamm professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Bad Homburg Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Zarazua vs Thamm professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Bad Homburg Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Renata Zarazua and Mariella Thamm in the Bad Homburg Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for June 20, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Renata Zarazua' if Renata Zarazua advances against Mariella Thamm. This market will resolve to 'Mariella Thamm' if Mariella Thamm advances against Renata Zarazua. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Renata Zarazua
80.0% avg
$50K+ lifetime-profit wallets · 24h net flow
