Live prediction market odds for Marta Kostyuk vs. Nadia Podoroska. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-30
Marta Kostyuk vs. Nadia Podoroska — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-30. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Marta Kostyuk leads the “Marta Kostyuk vs. Nadia Podoroska” event at 96.3% implied probability, followed by Nadia Podoroska at 3.3%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread.
Marta Kostyuk vs. Nadia Podoroska is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Marta Kostyuk leads at 96% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Nadia Podoroska at 3%.
Marta Kostyuk currently leads at 96% implied probability. Behind Marta Kostyuk, Nadia Podoroska at 3% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Marta Kostyuk: 96¢ on Kalshi, 97¢ on Polymarket. Nadia Podoroska: 3¢ on Kalshi, 4¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 96¢ means the market estimates a 96% probability that Marta Kostyuk will be the outcome. Buying one share at 96¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 4% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Marta Kostyuk
96.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Nadia Podoroska wins the Podoroska vs Kostyuk professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Women Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Podoroska vs Kostyuk professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Women Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Nadia Podoroska and Marta Kostyuk in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nadia Podoroska' if Nadia Podoroska advances against Marta Kostyuk. This market will resolve to 'Marta Kostyuk' if Marta Kostyuk advances against Nadia Podoroska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
