Live prediction market odds for Mary Stoiana vs. Darja Vidmanova. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-29
Mary Stoiana vs. Darja Vidmanova — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-03-29. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Darja Vidmanova leads the “Mary Stoiana vs. Darja Vidmanova” event at 65.0% implied probability, followed by Mary Stoiana at 35.3%. A 4.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Mary Stoiana vs. Darja Vidmanova is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Darja Vidmanova leads at 65% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Mary Stoiana at 35%.
Darja Vidmanova currently leads at 65% implied probability. Behind Darja Vidmanova, Mary Stoiana at 35% are the next closest contenders. The 4.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Darja Vidmanova: 67¢ on Kalshi, 63¢ on Polymarket. Mary Stoiana: 34¢ on Kalshi, 37¢ on Polymarket. The 4.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 65¢ means the market estimates a 65% probability that Darja Vidmanova will be the outcome. Buying one share at 65¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 54% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Darja Vidmanova
65.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Darja Vidmanova wins the Vidmanova vs Stoiana professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Charleston Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Vidmanova vs Stoiana professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Charleston Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Darja Vidmanova and Mary Stoiana in the Credit One Charleston Open, Qualification, scheduled for March 29 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Darja Vidmanova' if Darja Vidmanova advances against Mary Stoiana. This market will resolve to 'Mary Stoiana' if Mary Stoiana advances against Darja Vidmanova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
