Live prediction market odds for Mary Stoiana vs. Darja Vidmanova. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-30
This market resolved on 2026-03-30. Mary Stoiana was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 67%.
Mary Stoiana vs. Darja Vidmanova — WTA Tennis match held on 2026-03-30. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Mary StoianaWINNER | 99% | 35% |
Darja Vidmanova | 1% | 66% |
Mary Stoiana vs. Darja Vidmanova was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Mary Stoiana led the market at 67% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Darja Vidmanova at 33%.
Mary Stoiana held the lead at 67% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Mary Stoiana, Darja Vidmanova at 33% were the next closest contenders. The 64.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Mary Stoiana: 99¢ on Kalshi, 35¢ on Polymarket. Darja Vidmanova: 1¢ on Kalshi, 66¢ on Polymarket. The 64.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 67¢ meant the market estimated a 67% chance that Mary Stoiana would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 67¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 49% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Darja Vidmanova wins the Vidmanova vs Stoiana professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Charleston Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Vidmanova vs Stoiana professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Charleston Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Darja Vidmanova and Mary Stoiana in the Credit One Charleston Open, Qualification, scheduled for March 29 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Darja Vidmanova' if Darja Vidmanova advances against Mary Stoiana. This market will resolve to 'Mary Stoiana' if Mary Stoiana advances against Darja Vidmanova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mary Stoiana
66.8% avg
