Live prediction market odds for Mary Stoiana vs. Kayla Cross. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-23
Mary Stoiana vs. Kayla Cross — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-23. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Mary Stoiana leads the “Mary Stoiana vs. Kayla Cross” event at 81.3% implied probability, followed by Kayla Cross at 18.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Mary Stoiana vs. Kayla Cross is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Mary Stoiana leads at 81% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Kayla Cross at 19%.
Mary Stoiana currently leads at 81% implied probability. Behind Mary Stoiana, Kayla Cross at 19% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Mary Stoiana: 82¢ on Kalshi, 81¢ on Polymarket. Kayla Cross: 18¢ on Kalshi, 19¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 81¢ means the market estimates a 81% probability that Mary Stoiana will be the outcome. Buying one share at 81¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 23% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Kayla Cross wins the Cross vs Stoiana professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Women Singles Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Cross vs Stoiana professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Women Singles Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Kayla Cross and Mary Stoiana in the Wimbledon, Qualification WTA, originally scheduled for June 24, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kayla Cross' if Kayla Cross advances against Mary Stoiana. This market will resolve to 'Mary Stoiana' if Mary Stoiana advances against Kayla Cross. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mary Stoiana
81.3% avg
