Live prediction market odds for Mary Stoiana vs. Kristina Mladenovic. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-29
Mary Stoiana vs. Kristina Mladenovic — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-03-29. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Mary Stoiana leads the “Mary Stoiana vs. Kristina Mladenovic” event at 67.8% implied probability, followed by Kristina Mladenovic at 32.5%. A 5.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Mary Stoiana vs. Kristina Mladenovic is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Mary Stoiana leads at 68% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Kristina Mladenovic at 33%.
Mary Stoiana currently leads at 68% implied probability. Behind Mary Stoiana, Kristina Mladenovic at 33% are the next closest contenders. The 5.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Mary Stoiana: 71¢ on Kalshi, 65¢ on Polymarket. Kristina Mladenovic: 30¢ on Kalshi, 35¢ on Polymarket. The 5.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 68¢ means the market estimates a 68% probability that Mary Stoiana will be the outcome. Buying one share at 68¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 47% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Mary Stoiana
67.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Kristina Mladenovic wins the Mladenovic vs Stoiana professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Charleston Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Mladenovic vs Stoiana professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Charleston Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Kristina Mladenovic and Mary Stoiana in the Credit One Charleston Open, Qualification, scheduled for March 28 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kristina Mladenovic' if Kristina Mladenovic advances against Mary Stoiana. This market will resolve to 'Mary Stoiana' if Mary Stoiana advances against Kristina Mladenovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
