Live prediction market odds for Maya Joint vs. Serena Williams. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-30
Maya Joint vs. Serena Williams — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-30. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Maya Joint leads the “Maya Joint vs. Serena Williams” event at 56.5% implied probability, followed by Serena Williams at 43.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Maya Joint vs. Serena Williams is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Maya Joint leads at 57% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Serena Williams at 44%.
Maya Joint currently leads at 57% implied probability. Behind Maya Joint, Serena Williams at 44% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Maya Joint: 56¢ on Kalshi, 57¢ on Polymarket. Serena Williams: 44¢ on Kalshi, 43¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 57¢ means the market estimates a 57% probability that Maya Joint will be the outcome. Buying one share at 57¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 75% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Maya Joint
56.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Maya Joint wins the Williams vs Joint professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Women Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Williams vs Joint professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Women Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Serena Williams and Maya Joint in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Serena Williams' if Serena Williams advances against Maya Joint. This market will resolve to 'Maya Joint' if Maya Joint advances against Serena Williams. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
