Live prediction market odds for Naomi Osaka vs. Elsa Jacquemot. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-29
Naomi Osaka vs. Elsa Jacquemot — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-29. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Naomi Osaka leads the “Naomi Osaka vs. Elsa Jacquemot” event at 90.8% implied probability, followed by Elsa Jacquemot at 9.8%. A 2.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Naomi Osaka vs. Elsa Jacquemot is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Naomi Osaka leads at 91% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Elsa Jacquemot at 10%.
Naomi Osaka currently leads at 91% implied probability. Behind Naomi Osaka, Elsa Jacquemot at 10% are the next closest contenders. A 2.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Naomi Osaka: 92¢ on Kalshi, 90¢ on Polymarket. Elsa Jacquemot: 9¢ on Kalshi, 11¢ on Polymarket. The 2.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 91¢ means the market estimates a 91% probability that Naomi Osaka will be the outcome. Buying one share at 91¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 10% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Naomi Osaka
90.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Naomi Osaka wins the Jacquemot vs Osaka professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Women Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Jacquemot vs Osaka professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Women Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Elsa Jacquemot and Naomi Osaka in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elsa Jacquemot' if Elsa Jacquemot advances against Naomi Osaka. This market will resolve to 'Naomi Osaka' if Naomi Osaka advances against Elsa Jacquemot. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
