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Live prediction market odds for Nikola Bartunkova vs. Elise Mertens. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

Nikola Bartunkova vs. Elise Mertens

2026-06-17

About This Market

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Nikola Bartunkova vs. Elise Mertens — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-17. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Elise Mertens leads the “Nikola Bartunkova vs. Elise Mertens” event at 71.5% implied probability, followed by Nikola Bartunkova at 29.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Live Markets

2 platforms
EM
Elise Mertens
71% Avg
Kalshi72¢
Polymarket71¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
71.5%71¢72¢28¢29¢
PolymarketPolymarket
70.5%70¢71¢29¢30¢
NB
Nikola Bartunkova
30% Avg
Kalshi30¢
Polymarket30¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
29.5%29¢30¢70¢71¢
PolymarketPolymarket
29.5%29¢30¢70¢71¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "Nikola Bartunkova vs. Elise Mertens" and why does it matter?

Nikola Bartunkova vs. Elise Mertens is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Elise Mertens leads at 72% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Nikola Bartunkova at 30%.

What is moving the odds on "Nikola Bartunkova vs. Elise Mertens"?

Elise Mertens currently leads at 72% implied probability. Behind Elise Mertens, Nikola Bartunkova at 30% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.

What are the current odds for "Nikola Bartunkova vs. Elise Mertens" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Elise Mertens: 72¢ on Kalshi, 71¢ on Polymarket. Nikola Bartunkova: 30¢ on Kalshi, 29¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.

What does it mean that Elise Mertens is at 72%?

A price of 72¢ means the market estimates a 72% probability that Elise Mertens will be the outcome. Buying one share at 72¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 39% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Market Rulebook: Nikola Bartunkova vs. Elise Mertens

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Elise Mertens wins the Mertens vs Bartunkova professional tennis match in the 2026 Berlin Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Mertens vs Bartunkova professional tennis match in the 2026 Berlin Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Elise Mertens and Nikola Bartunkova in the Grass Court Championships, originally scheduled for June 17, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elise Mertens' if Elise Mertens advances against Nikola Bartunkova. This market will resolve to 'Nikola Bartunkova' if Nikola Bartunkova advances against Elise Mertens. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Spread1.0%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Elise Mertens

71.5% avg