Live prediction market odds for Paula Badosa vs. Kayla Day. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-30
Paula Badosa vs. Kayla Day — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-03-30. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Paula Badosa leads the “Paula Badosa vs. Kayla Day” event at 71.3% implied probability, followed by Kayla Day at 29.0%. A 8.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Paula Badosa vs. Kayla Day is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Paula Badosa leads at 71% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Kayla Day at 29%.
Paula Badosa currently leads at 71% implied probability. Behind Paula Badosa, Kayla Day at 29% are the next closest contenders. The 8.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Paula Badosa: 76¢ on Kalshi, 67¢ on Polymarket. Kayla Day: 25¢ on Kalshi, 33¢ on Polymarket. The 8.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 71¢ means the market estimates a 71% probability that Paula Badosa will be the outcome. Buying one share at 71¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 41% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Paula Badosa
71.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Paula Badosa wins the Day vs Badosa professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Charleston Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Day vs Badosa professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Charleston Round Of 64 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Kayla Day and Paula Badosa in the Credit One Charleston Open, scheduled for March 31 2026. This market will resolve to “Day” if Kayla Day wins the first set. It will resolve to “Badosa” if Paula Badosa wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA match statistics.
