Live prediction market odds for Paula Badosa vs. Kayla Day. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-31
Paula Badosa vs. Kayla Day — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-03-31. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Paula Badosa leads the “Paula Badosa vs. Kayla Day” event at 75.5% implied probability, followed by Kayla Day at 24.8%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread.
Paula Badosa vs. Kayla Day is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Paula Badosa leads at 76% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Kayla Day at 25%.
Paula Badosa currently leads at 76% implied probability. Behind Paula Badosa, Kayla Day at 25% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Paula Badosa: 76¢ on Kalshi, 76¢ on Polymarket. Kayla Day: 25¢ on Kalshi, 25¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 76¢ means the market estimates a 76% probability that Paula Badosa will be the outcome. Buying one share at 76¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 32% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Paula Badosa
75.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Paula Badosa wins the Day vs Badosa professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Charleston Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Day vs Badosa professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Charleston Round Of 64 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Kayla Day and Paula Badosa in the Credit One Charleston Open, scheduled for March 31 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kayla Day' if Kayla Day advances against Paula Badosa. This market will resolve to 'Paula Badosa' if Paula Badosa advances against Kayla Day. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
