Live prediction market odds for Peyton Stearns vs. Madison Keys. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-08
Peyton Stearns vs. Madison Keys — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-05-08. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Madison Keys leads the “Peyton Stearns vs. Madison Keys” event at 61.8% implied probability, followed by Peyton Stearns at 38.3%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread.
Peyton Stearns vs. Madison Keys is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Madison Keys leads at 62% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Peyton Stearns at 38%.
Madison Keys currently leads at 62% implied probability. Behind Madison Keys, Peyton Stearns at 38% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Madison Keys: 62¢ on Kalshi, 62¢ on Polymarket. Peyton Stearns: 39¢ on Kalshi, 38¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 62¢ means the market estimates a 62% probability that Madison Keys will be the outcome. Buying one share at 62¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 61% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Madison Keys
61.8% avg
