Live prediction market odds for Renata Zarazua vs. Hailey Baptiste. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-31
Renata Zarazua vs. Hailey Baptiste — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-03-31. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Hailey Baptiste leads the “Renata Zarazua vs. Hailey Baptiste” event at 68.3% implied probability, followed by Renata Zarazua at 31.3%. A 4.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Renata Zarazua vs. Hailey Baptiste is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Hailey Baptiste leads at 68% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Renata Zarazua at 31%.
Hailey Baptiste currently leads at 68% implied probability. Behind Hailey Baptiste, Renata Zarazua at 31% are the next closest contenders. The 4.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Hailey Baptiste: 70¢ on Kalshi, 67¢ on Polymarket. Renata Zarazua: 29¢ on Kalshi, 34¢ on Polymarket. The 4.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 68¢ means the market estimates a 68% probability that Hailey Baptiste will be the outcome. Buying one share at 68¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 47% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Hailey Baptiste
68.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Renata Zarazua wins the Baptiste vs Zarazua professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Charleston Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Baptiste vs Zarazua professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Charleston Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Hailey Baptiste and Renata Zarazua in the Credit One Charleston Open, scheduled for April 1 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hailey Baptiste' if Hailey Baptiste advances against Renata Zarazua. This market will resolve to 'Renata Zarazua' if Renata Zarazua advances against Hailey Baptiste. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
