Live prediction market odds for Renata Zarazua vs. McCartney Kessler. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-16
Renata Zarazua vs. McCartney Kessler — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-05-16. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
McCartney Kessler leads the “Renata Zarazua vs. McCartney Kessler” event at 60.5% implied probability, followed by Renata Zarazua at 40.0%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Renata Zarazua vs. McCartney Kessler is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). McCartney Kessler leads at 61% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Renata Zarazua at 40%.
McCartney Kessler currently leads at 61% implied probability. Behind McCartney Kessler, Renata Zarazua at 40% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: McCartney Kessler: 61¢ on Kalshi, 60¢ on Polymarket. Renata Zarazua: 40¢ on Kalshi, 40¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 61¢ means the market estimates a 61% probability that McCartney Kessler will be the outcome. Buying one share at 61¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 64% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf McCartney Kessler wins the Kessler vs Zarazua professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Strasbourg Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Kessler vs Zarazua professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Strasbourg Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between McCartney Kessler and Renata Zarazua in the Internationaux de Strasbourg, Qualification, originally scheduled for May 16, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'McCartney Kessler' if McCartney Kessler advances against Renata Zarazua. This market will resolve to 'Renata Zarazua' if Renata Zarazua advances against McCartney Kessler. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
McCartney Kessler
60.5% avg
