Live prediction market odds for Simona Waltert vs. Petra Marcinko. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-20
Simona Waltert vs. Petra Marcinko — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-20. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Petra Marcinko leads the “Simona Waltert vs. Petra Marcinko” event at 53.5% implied probability, followed by Simona Waltert at 46.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Simona Waltert vs. Petra Marcinko is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Petra Marcinko leads at 54% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Simona Waltert at 47%.
Petra Marcinko currently leads at 54% implied probability. Behind Petra Marcinko, Simona Waltert at 47% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Petra Marcinko: 53¢ on Kalshi, 54¢ on Polymarket. Simona Waltert: 47¢ on Kalshi, 46¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 54¢ means the market estimates a 54% probability that Petra Marcinko will be the outcome. Buying one share at 54¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 85% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Simona Waltert wins the Marcinko vs Waltert professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Eastbourne Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Marcinko vs Waltert professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Eastbourne Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Petra Marcinko and Simona Waltert in the Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for June 20, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Petra Marcinko' if Petra Marcinko advances against Simona Waltert. This market will resolve to 'Simona Waltert' if Simona Waltert advances against Petra Marcinko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Petra Marcinko
53.5% avg
