Live prediction market odds for Sinja Kraus vs. Karolina Pliskova. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-22
Sinja Kraus vs. Karolina Pliskova — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-22. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Karolina Pliskova leads the “Sinja Kraus vs. Karolina Pliskova” event at 55.8% implied probability, followed by Sinja Kraus at 42.0%. A 3.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Sinja Kraus vs. Karolina Pliskova is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Karolina Pliskova leads at 56% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Sinja Kraus at 42%.
Karolina Pliskova currently leads at 56% implied probability. Behind Karolina Pliskova, Sinja Kraus at 42% are the next closest contenders. The 3.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Karolina Pliskova: 54¢ on Kalshi, 58¢ on Polymarket. Sinja Kraus: 42¢ on Kalshi, 43¢ on Polymarket. The 3.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 56¢ means the market estimates a 56% probability that Karolina Pliskova will be the outcome. Buying one share at 56¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 79% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Karolina Pliskova wins the Pliskova vs Kraus professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Pliskova vs Kraus professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Karolina Pliskova and Sinja Kraus in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 22, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karolina Pliskova' if Karolina Pliskova advances against Sinja Kraus. This market will resolve to 'Sinja Kraus' if Sinja Kraus advances against Karolina Pliskova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Karolina Pliskova
55.8% avg
