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Live prediction market odds for Sinja Kraus vs. Martina Trevisan. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

Sinja Kraus vs. Martina Trevisan

2026-04-20

About This Market

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Sinja Kraus vs. Martina Trevisan — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-20. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Sinja Kraus leads the “Sinja Kraus vs. Martina Trevisan” event at 72.8% implied probability, followed by Martina Trevisan at 28.3%. A 8.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
No price history available

Live Markets

2 platforms
SK
Sinja KrausARB
72% Avg
Kalshi77¢
Polymarket70¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
75.5%74¢77¢23¢26¢
PolymarketPolymarket
68.5%67¢70¢30¢33¢
MT
Martina TrevisanARB
28% Avg
Kalshi25¢
Polymarket33¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
24.0%23¢25¢75¢77¢
PolymarketPolymarket
31.5%30¢33¢67¢70¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "Sinja Kraus vs. Martina Trevisan" and why does it matter?

Sinja Kraus vs. Martina Trevisan is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Sinja Kraus leads at 73% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Martina Trevisan at 28%.

What is moving the odds on "Sinja Kraus vs. Martina Trevisan"?

Sinja Kraus currently leads at 73% implied probability. Behind Sinja Kraus, Martina Trevisan at 28% are the next closest contenders. The 8.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

What are the current odds for "Sinja Kraus vs. Martina Trevisan" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Sinja Kraus: 77¢ on Kalshi, 69¢ on Polymarket. Martina Trevisan: 25¢ on Kalshi, 32¢ on Polymarket. The 8.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

What does it mean that Sinja Kraus is at 73%?

A price of 73¢ means the market estimates a 73% probability that Sinja Kraus will be the outcome. Buying one share at 73¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 37% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread8.5%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Sinja Kraus

Market Rulebook: Sinja Kraus vs. Martina Trevisan

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Sinja Kraus wins the Trevisan vs Kraus professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Trevisan vs Kraus professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Martina Trevisan and Sinja Kraus in the Madrid Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for April 20, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to “Trevisan” if Martina Trevisan wins the first set. It will resolve to “Kraus” if Sinja Kraus wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA match statistics.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
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72.8% avg