Live prediction market odds for Sinja Kraus vs. Paula Badosa. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-20
Sinja Kraus vs. Paula Badosa — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-20. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Paula Badosa leads the “Sinja Kraus vs. Paula Badosa” event at 82.5% implied probability, followed by Sinja Kraus at 18.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Sinja Kraus vs. Paula Badosa is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Paula Badosa leads at 83% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Sinja Kraus at 19%.
Paula Badosa currently leads at 83% implied probability. Behind Paula Badosa, Sinja Kraus at 19% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Paula Badosa: 83¢ on Kalshi, 82¢ on Polymarket. Sinja Kraus: 19¢ on Kalshi, 18¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 83¢ means the market estimates a 83% probability that Paula Badosa will be the outcome. Buying one share at 83¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 20% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Paula Badosa wins the Badosa vs Kraus professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Bad Homburg Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Badosa vs Kraus professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Bad Homburg Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Paula Badosa and Sinja Kraus in the Bad Homburg Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for June 20, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Paula Badosa' if Paula Badosa advances against Sinja Kraus. This market will resolve to 'Sinja Kraus' if Sinja Kraus advances against Paula Badosa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Paula Badosa
82.5% avg
