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Live prediction market odds for Sinja Kraus vs. Renata Zarazua. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

Sinja Kraus vs. Renata Zarazua

2026-06-21

About This Market

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Sinja Kraus vs. Renata Zarazua — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-21. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Renata Zarazua leads the “Sinja Kraus vs. Renata Zarazua” event at 50.0% implied probability, followed by Sinja Kraus at 49.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
RZ
Renata Zarazua
50% Avg
Kalshi54¢
Polymarket53¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
50.0%46¢54¢46¢54¢
PolymarketPolymarket
50.0%47¢53¢47¢53¢
SK
Sinja Kraus
50% Avg
Kalshi53¢
Polymarket53¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
49.0%45¢53¢47¢55¢
PolymarketPolymarket
50.0%47¢53¢47¢53¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "Sinja Kraus vs. Renata Zarazua" and why does it matter?

Sinja Kraus vs. Renata Zarazua is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Renata Zarazua leads at 50% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Sinja Kraus at 50%.

What is moving the odds on "Sinja Kraus vs. Renata Zarazua"?

Renata Zarazua currently leads at 50% implied probability. Behind Renata Zarazua, Sinja Kraus at 50% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.

What are the current odds for "Sinja Kraus vs. Renata Zarazua" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Renata Zarazua: 50¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Sinja Kraus: 49¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.

What does it mean that Renata Zarazua is at 50%?

A price of 50¢ means the market estimates a 50% probability that Renata Zarazua will be the outcome. Buying one share at 50¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 100% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Stats

Market Rulebook: Sinja Kraus vs. Renata Zarazua

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Sinja Kraus wins the Zarazua vs Kraus professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Bad Homburg Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Zarazua vs Kraus professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Bad Homburg Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Renata Zarazua and Sinja Kraus in the Bad Homburg Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for June 21, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Renata Zarazua' if Renata Zarazua advances against Sinja Kraus. This market will resolve to 'Sinja Kraus' if Sinja Kraus advances against Renata Zarazua. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Spread1.0%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Renata Zarazua

50.0% avg