Live prediction market odds for Sofia Kenin vs. Ashlyn Krueger. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-22
Sofia Kenin vs. Ashlyn Krueger — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-22. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Sofia Kenin leads the “Sofia Kenin vs. Ashlyn Krueger” event at 57.8% implied probability, followed by Ashlyn Krueger at 43.5%. A 21.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Sofia Kenin vs. Ashlyn Krueger is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Sofia Kenin leads at 58% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Ashlyn Krueger at 44%.
Sofia Kenin currently leads at 58% implied probability. Behind Sofia Kenin, Ashlyn Krueger at 44% are the next closest contenders. The 21.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Sofia Kenin: 49¢ on Kalshi, 67¢ on Polymarket. Ashlyn Krueger: 54¢ on Kalshi, 33¢ on Polymarket. The 21.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 58¢ means the market estimates a 58% probability that Sofia Kenin will be the outcome. Buying one share at 58¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 72% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Sofia Kenin
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Sofia Kenin wins the Krueger vs Kenin professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Krueger vs Kenin professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Ashlyn Krueger and Sofia Kenin in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Krueger" if Ashlyn Krueger wins by 2 or more sets than Sofia Kenin, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Kenin." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.
57.8% avg
