Live prediction market odds for Tatjana Maria vs. Katarzyna Kawa. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-02
Tatjana Maria vs. Katarzyna Kawa — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-02. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Katarzyna Kawa leads the “Tatjana Maria vs. Katarzyna Kawa” event at 56.8% implied probability, followed by Tatjana Maria at 44.3%. A 24.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Tatjana Maria vs. Katarzyna Kawa is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Katarzyna Kawa leads at 57% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Tatjana Maria at 44%.
Katarzyna Kawa currently leads at 57% implied probability. Behind Katarzyna Kawa, Tatjana Maria at 44% are the next closest contenders. The 24.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Katarzyna Kawa: 69¢ on Kalshi, 45¢ on Polymarket. Tatjana Maria: 33¢ on Kalshi, 56¢ on Polymarket. The 24.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 57¢ means the market estimates a 57% probability that Katarzyna Kawa will be the outcome. Buying one share at 57¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 75% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Katarzyna Kawa
56.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Katarzyna Kawa wins the Kawa vs Maria professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Bogota Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Kawa vs Maria professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Bogota Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Katarzyna Kawa and Tatjana Maria in the Copa Colsanitas, scheduled for April 1 2026. This market will resolve to "Kawa" if Katarzyna Kawa wins by 2 or more sets than Tatjana Maria, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Maria." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.
