Live prediction market odds for Venus Williams vs. Kaitlin Quevedo. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-21
Venus Williams vs. Kaitlin Quevedo — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-21. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Kaitlin Quevedo leads the “Venus Williams vs. Kaitlin Quevedo” event at 59.5% implied probability, followed by Venus Williams at 48.3%. A 34.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Venus Williams vs. Kaitlin Quevedo is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Kaitlin Quevedo leads at 60% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Venus Williams at 48%.
Kaitlin Quevedo currently leads at 60% implied probability. Behind Kaitlin Quevedo, Venus Williams at 48% are the next closest contenders. The 34.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Kaitlin Quevedo: 77¢ on Kalshi, 43¢ on Polymarket. Venus Williams: 39¢ on Kalshi, 58¢ on Polymarket. The 34.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 60¢ means the market estimates a 60% probability that Kaitlin Quevedo will be the outcome. Buying one share at 60¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 67% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Kaitlin Quevedo
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Kaitlin Quevedo wins the Quevedo vs Williams professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Quevedo vs Williams professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Kaitlin Quevedo and Venus Williams in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Quevedo" if Kaitlin Quevedo wins by 2 or more sets than Venus Williams, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Williams." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.
59.5% avg
