Live prediction market odds for Veronika Erjavec vs. Federica Urgesi. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-05-05
This market resolved on 2026-05-05. Federica Urgesi was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Veronika Erjavec vs. Federica Urgesi — WTA Tennis match held on 2026-05-05. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Federica UrgesiWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Veronika Erjavec | 1% | 0% |
Veronika Erjavec vs. Federica Urgesi was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Federica Urgesi led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Veronika Erjavec at 1%.
Federica Urgesi held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Federica Urgesi, Veronika Erjavec at 1% were the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.9% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Federica Urgesi: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Veronika Erjavec: 1¢ on Kalshi, 0¢ on Polymarket. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.9% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Federica Urgesi would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Veronika Erjavec wins the Urgesi vs Erjavec professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Rome Qualification Round 2 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Urgesi vs Erjavec professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Rome Qualification Round 2 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Federica Urgesi and Veronika Erjavec in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification, originally scheduled for May 5, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Federica Urgesi' if Federica Urgesi advances against Veronika Erjavec. This market will resolve to 'Veronika Erjavec' if Veronika Erjavec advances against Federica Urgesi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Federica Urgesi
99.5% avg
