Live prediction market odds for Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs. Petra Marcinko. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-21
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs. Petra Marcinko — WTA Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-21. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Petra Marcinko leads the “Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs. Petra Marcinko” event at 53.0% implied probability, followed by Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva at 50.0%. A 14.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs. Petra Marcinko is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Petra Marcinko leads at 53% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva at 50%.
Petra Marcinko currently leads at 53% implied probability. Behind Petra Marcinko, Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva at 50% are the next closest contenders. The 14.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Petra Marcinko: 60¢ on Kalshi, 46¢ on Polymarket. Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva: 46¢ on Kalshi, 54¢ on Polymarket. The 14.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 53¢ means the market estimates a 53% probability that Petra Marcinko will be the outcome. Buying one share at 53¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 89% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Petra Marcinko
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Petra Marcinko wins the Marcinko vs Jimenez Kasintseva professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Marcinko vs Jimenez Kasintseva professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Petra Marcinko and Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Marcinko" if Petra Marcinko wins by 2 or more sets than Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Kasintseva." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.
53.0% avg
