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Live prediction market odds for Viktoriya Tomova vs. Usue Maitane Arconada. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket

Viktoriya Tomova Wins: Viktoriya Tomova vs. Usue Maitane Arconada

Resolved 2026-03-29

This market resolved on 2026-03-29. Viktoriya Tomova was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 78%.

About This Market

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Viktoriya Tomova vs. Usue Maitane Arconada — WTA Tennis match held on 2026-03-29. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Final Closing Odds

2 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
Viktoriya TomovaWINNER
99%58%
Usue Maitane Arconada
1%43%

Frequently Asked Questions

What was "Viktoriya Tomova vs. Usue Maitane Arconada" and why did it matter?

Viktoriya Tomova vs. Usue Maitane Arconada was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Viktoriya Tomova led the market at 78% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Usue Maitane Arconada at 22%.

What moved the odds on "Viktoriya Tomova vs. Usue Maitane Arconada"?

Viktoriya Tomova held the lead at 78% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Viktoriya Tomova, Usue Maitane Arconada at 22% were the next closest contenders. The 42.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

What were the final odds for "Viktoriya Tomova vs. Usue Maitane Arconada" across platforms?

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Viktoriya Tomova: 99¢ on Kalshi, 58¢ on Polymarket. Usue Maitane Arconada: 1¢ on Kalshi, 43¢ on Polymarket. The 42.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

What did 78% odds for Viktoriya Tomova mean?

A price of 78¢ meant the market estimated a 78% chance that Viktoriya Tomova would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 78¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 28% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
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Stats
Spread42.0%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Winner

Viktoriya Tomova

78.3% avg

Market Rulebook: Viktoriya Tomova vs. Usue Maitane Arconada

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Viktoriya Tomova wins the Arconada vs Tomova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Charleston Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Arconada vs Tomova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Charleston Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Viktoriya Tomova and Usue Maitane Arconada in the Credit One Charleston Open, Qualification, scheduled for March 28 2026. This market will resolve to "Tomova" if Viktoriya Tomova wins by 2 or more sets than Usue Maitane Arconada, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Arconada." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
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