Live prediction market odds for Yara Bartashevich vs. Maria Timofeeva. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-11
This market resolved on 2026-04-11. Maria Timofeeva was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 94%.
Yara Bartashevich vs. Maria Timofeeva — WTA Tennis match held on 2026-04-11. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Maria TimofeevaWINNER | 99% | 89% |
Yara Bartashevich | 1% | 11% |
Yara Bartashevich vs. Maria Timofeeva was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Maria Timofeeva led the market at 94% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Yara Bartashevich at 6%.
Maria Timofeeva held the lead at 94% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Maria Timofeeva, Yara Bartashevich at 6% were the next closest contenders. The 10.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Maria Timofeeva: 99¢ on Kalshi, 89¢ on Polymarket. Yara Bartashevich: 1¢ on Kalshi, 11¢ on Polymarket. The 10.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 94¢ meant the market estimated a 94% chance that Maria Timofeeva would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 94¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 6% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Yara Bartashevich wins the Timofeeva vs Bartashevich professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Rouen Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Timofeeva vs Bartashevich professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Rouen Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Maria Timofeeva and Yara Bartashevich in the Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole, Qualification, scheduled for April 11 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Timofeeva' if Maria Timofeeva advances against Yara Bartashevich. This market will resolve to 'Yara Bartashevich' if Yara Bartashevich advances against Maria Timofeeva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Maria Timofeeva
94.0% avg
