Live prediction market odds for Wyoming Governor Election Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-03
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Wyoming Governor Election Winner for the upcoming election on November 3, 2026. This race will determine the state's leadership and could impact local policies and party dynamics in a traditionally Republican stronghold.
Republican party leads the “Wyoming Governor Election Winner” event at 93.5% implied probability, followed by Democratic party at 5.1%. A 1.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Key factors include candidate popularity, party affiliation, and recent polling data. Additionally, local issues and national political trends can sway voter sentiment.
The election is set for November 3, 2026. This date aligns with the general election cycle for various state and federal offices.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of an event's outcome. Prices reflect the collective sentiment and can change as new information becomes available.
Wyoming Governor Election Winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Republican party leads at 94% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Democratic party at 5%.
Republican party currently leads at 94% implied probability. Behind Republican party, Democratic party at 5% are the next closest contenders. A 1.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
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Republican party
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Wyoming pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
93.5% avg
